Pick Table
Recommended board
Calibration Check
Accuracy vs confidence bucketPlain-English Read
What the numbers sayConfidence Curve
Baseline is actual home win rate
Actual hit rate
What the model predicted
Dimmed bars are thin samples
Accuracy by Month
Volatility is expectedDaily paper slips
Moneyline markets only until totals/stock prices are connected
Paper, not execution.
PontisAi is acting like a prediction market board here: it marks what would have happened if every priced pick were taken for one unit. No trades or bets are placed.
Today’s call
Not a trade signal.
This model says how large tomorrow's move is likely to be, never which way it goes, and no price or position is attached to it. It is kept apart from the sports board because there is no book line to price it against.